民 調
- Rank: 14
- Volume: 500+
- Increase: —
- Started: 2026-09-30T20:20:00+08:00
- Status: 活躍
- Report date: 2026-10-01
- Source: https://www.rfi.fr/tw/%25E6%25B8%25AF%25E6%25BE%25B3%25E5%258F%25B0/20260930-%25E4%25B9%259D%25E5%2590%2588%25E4%25B8%2580%25E9%2581%25B8%25E8%2588%2589%25E5%258F%25B0%25E5%258C%2597%25E5%25B8%2582%25E9%2581%25B8%25E6%2588%25B0%25E6%25BF%2580%25E7%2583%2588-%25E6%259C%2580%25E6%2596%25B0%25E6%25B0%2591%25E8%25AA%25BF%25E9%25A1%25AF%25E7%25A4%25BA%25E6%25B0%2591%25E9%2580%25B2%25E9%25BB%25A8%25E5%259C%25A8%25E5%258F%25B0%25E5%258C%2597%25E5%25B8%2582%25E5%25A5%25BD%25E6%2584%259F%25E5%25BA%25A6%25E7%25A0%25B450
主要內容摘要
1. 戴立安民調顯示台北市長選戰關注度達40.6%居全國之冠
2. 民進黨台北好感度53.3%,高於雲嘉南與高屏
3. 沈伯洋、蔣萬安均表態戒慎恐懼,選情激烈
為何成為話題
首都選情可能出現結構變化,影響台北交通、住宅等市政政策走向,也牽動議會席次與兩黨2028布局。
三個爭議點
1. 政黨好感度能否直接轉化為候選人得票
2. 南部好感度低於台北,民調抽樣與方法是否可靠
3. 綠營只提名25席議員,是否真屬錯估情勢